Our Ugly Logo, click it and you'll go to the home page. A discussion of how this century has gotten off to such a bad start. 
In other words:  A discussion of The Bush Administration

- Thursday, March 18, 2004 -
Amnesia

Apparently at least one half of Americans have a memory span going back, oh, about a minute and three seconds, or just as long as it takes to spin a news cycle. Remember the time before the national doctrine of We get to invade anybody, anyplace, if we deem them capable of someday maybe perhaps becoming a threat? And a minute or so before that, when it was, When we know for sure they have weapons of mass destruction? And about thirty seconds before that when it was, We will smoke 'em outta their holes, wherever the terrists are hiding, and go after any country that sponsors them? And before that when it was, We believe in working closely with the U.N. and our NATO allies to form an international coalition to fight terrorism wherever it may be? And before that when it was, We will never put U.S. troops in harm's way without our U.N. allies? And before that,when it was, We don't believe nation-building is in the best interest of the United States? And before that when it was, We believe that what we did in Lebanon in 1982 [the U.S. turned tail and fled as soon as we were attacked, under Reagan-Cheney] was the right thing to do? No, you don't remember?

This, my friends, is known as selective amnesia, and hawks are using it to cherry-pick their arguments in favor of continued aggressive occupation and conquest of the Middle East and all points north south east and west. The logic has been turned on its head. Now the rallying cry is, We have to pour every ounce of treasure and blood into Iraq and sooner rather than later its neighbors or else it's a victory for al-Quaeda, and any other country that doesn't agree with us is an appeaser in the mold of Neville Chamberlain, despite the mandate of that country's people in a democratically held election. I suppose our NOT turning the handling of the occupation and rebuilding of Iraq over to what are supposed to be our U.N. allies has NOTHING TO DO WITH IT? The argument is that the Europeans have no belly for war. That's an interesting argument, considering that Europe STARTED BOTH WORLD WARS in the 20th century and has been a crucible for statism, terror and international violence for more than A THOUSAND YEARS. But no, Americans see things much more clearly than any thousand-year-old country can. What's wrong with those democratically elected leaders in all those free countries? We should teach them a little democracy.

Meanwhile, all the good arguments for actually fighting terrorism (something Bush might think about once in while, especially in an election year) go completely and utterly unheeded by the bellicose jingoists. The only way to fight terrorism is a big military invasion and occupation of an already beaten, toothless country, which we, the aggressors, knew never posed a threat. Before the unilateral, illegal invasion, anybody who knew anything at all about the region and the likely response who bothered to speak out was instantly ridiculed and shouted down by the administration and its supporters, without anything resembling an intelligent or reasonable debate. It always has been and forever will be, Shut up, we know exactly what we're doing.

Well, that may indeed be the case, but is what you're doing making the world a safer place by actually cracking down on the lunatics who threaten it? No, because that never was the mission, and it still isn't. This is why all the arguments change after the facts, and the world is much more dangerous as a result. Every day brings us closer to something resembling Armegeddon, and there's a real possibility that something genuinely horrifying will happen here, something that will make 9/11 look like a dummy run. So what are we supposed to do about it?

For starters, better leadership and less greedership. The entire world knows what Bush is and what he's doing. He's establishing a circle of military bases around ports and oilfields and means to secure them, no matter the cost, no matter who dies, including Americans in their beds. Whoever's reading this better understand that. This is fact, not opinion. You can disagree with my reasons, but the military bases are there and show no signs of ever going away. You can't dispute their presence. And if you think they're there for anything other than controlling that region's resources, you're the one with the ideology, not me.

Second, we better get the fuck out of that civil war. That's Vietnam. The Sunni-Shiite struggle is being deliberately sparked, and that fucker's blowing as we speak. If we allow our War on Terror to include using American troops as fodder for a sectarian Islamist struggle, then we automatically lose, since the only way to win is to destroy the other side, which is impossible in this case. I say, let them blow each other up and stay out of it. We can't build a free society in the middle of a civil war. We tried that already once and it doesn't work. Why won't the hawks acknowledge that? I'm not saying we should just pull out, but we can't be the only ones there. Bush must go. He is an utter failure in international diplomacy. We need a regime change at home, a whole new slate of legislators, and some kind of international coalition actively pursuing a diplomatic course in addition to aggressively combatting terrorists. How do we do it?

Stop saber rattling and threatening everyone. Cancel our doctrine of Bring 'em on. Cancel unilateralism. Include ourselves in international treaties and protocols. Obey the Geneva convention. These are just a few ideas that only served us well for more than 50 years. Since they're tried, I guess that means they can't be true. Better just throw that all away and wing it instead. At least according to selective amnesiacs. Everything changed after 9/11. Really? I could've sworn people were blowing themselves up in Israeli shopping malls.

The other canard is that "the only thing that will work is to go in there with the military and hit 'em hard. It's the only thing the terrorists understand." For one thing, we're not hitting the terrorists, they're hitting us. We're hitting the Iraqis, and it's pissing them off. I recently read this excellent editorial, which notes specifically with regard to going after terrorists:

"So what can we do? Traditional top-heavy approaches -- strategic bombardment, invasion and other large-scale forms of coercion -- will not be any use against border-hopping jihadist swarms, and they would only add to their popular support.

"Surprisingly, however, pinpoint responses may not be the answer either. Kathleen Carley, a professor at Carnegie Mellon University, has used intelligence data and computer modeling to monitor changes in jihadist networks, including the cell responsible for the suicide bombing of the American Embassy in Tanzania. She found that eliminating the "central actors" -- that is, cell members who have the most ties to other cell members and to other groups -- has actually spurred terrorists to adapt more quickly, and has been less effective in the long run than eliminating less-central foot soldiers. Thus assassinations of leaders (a favorite Israeli tactic) may be counterproductive, in addition to causing public revulsion.

"Rather, destroying terrorist networks requires what David Ronfeldt, a RAND analyst, calls "netwar." This is, in effect, mimicking the swarming tactics of the enemy. It involves long missions by smallish, mobile military units that can quickly descend on terrorist groups."

Do you hear anything commonsensical like this coming from the hawk camp? I sent this to my old pal Dan Lynch, and he ignored it, instead referring to me as "breathtakingly naive" on his radio program when I asked him how we could afford to be policeman of the world and go it alone. Why? Does anyone reading this consider it breathtakingly naive to go after terrorist networks in the way described here, with mobile military units made up of an international coalition? No, I guess it makes much more sense getting blown up all alone like sitting ducks for years and years to come, while you and I and your children's children pay for it, while Iraqi freedom and democracy burns.

Meanwhile the radical Islamist fundamentalists have a whole new reason to recruit thousands and thousands of followers who believe in violence as a political solution, much like selective amnesiacs.



- Michael 11:45 AM - [PermaLink] -

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