In other words: A discussion of The Bush Administration
I'd like to say sorry to all my fans out there in the blog world for disappearing for a little, visits from the parents to see the grandbaby tend to turn life into a black hole, sucking time, energy and gravity into an unrelenting vortex. So, back to politics....
There's an old (slightly) article by John Zogby, who says that the election is John Kerry's to lose. I really like Zogby's polls. He consistently turns out fairly reliable poll numbers and pushes things on poll methodology to result in more accurate polling. For instance, he understands that the changing dynamic of persons who use only a cell phone rather than having a land line have resulted in an increase in the unreliability of the polling data.
Being that Zogby wrote this piece about 3 weeks ago, and now reading it, I think that if anything has changed at all it's been a swing in Kerry's favor. One of the most critical things Zogby says is the following:
The President’s problem is further compounded by the fact that he is now at the mercy of situations that are out of his control.
I think that's going to be Chimp's main problem. The bad news out of Iraq isn't going to go away overnight. No matter what policy decisions he makes now. The waiting game on supply-side economics is only beginning to bear fruit now (if you believe in supply-side at all) and all he can do is wait more on the economy. He's set himself up as the president who will protect us from terrorists, but he can't ensure that every terrorist attack will be stopped. As time goes on, the facade that is his administration cracks more....
- B 12:44 PM - [PermaLink] -
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more coming...
