Our Ugly Logo, click it and you'll go to the home page. A discussion of how this century has gotten off to such a bad start. 
In other words:  A discussion of The Bush Administration

- Monday, November 08, 2004 -
Below I talked about the importance of faith in keeping the US dollar strong. Well the Chinese have lost "the faith." Expect interest rates to go up pretty quick in 2005. And people if you have an ARM mortgage... move to fixed rate... as fast as you can.

FT.com / Markets / Currencies - Dollar expected to fall amid China's rumoured selling
The dollar could slide still further, in spite of hitting an all-time low against the euro last week in the wake of George W. Bush's re-election, currency traders have said.

The dollar sell-off has resumed amid fears among traders that Mr Bush's victory will bring four more years of widening US budget and current account deficits, heightened geopolitical risks and a policy of "benign neglect" of the dollar.
...
Speculative traders in Chicago last week racked up the highest number of long-euro, short-dollar contracts on record. Options traders have reported brisk business in euro calls - contracts to buy the euro at a pre-determined rate.

However, the market has been rife with rumours that the latest wave of selling has been led by foreign governments seeking to cut their exposure to US assets.

India and Russia have reportedly been selling US assets, as well as petrodollar-rich Middle Eastern investors.

China, which has $515bn of reserves, was also said to be selling dollars and buying Asian currencies in readiness to switch the renminbi's dollar peg to a basket arrangement, something Chinese officials have increasingly hinted at. Any re-allocation could push the dollar sharply lower and Treasury yields markedly higher.




- rob 5:37 PM - [PermaLink] -

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